The first attempt here at OTOTM to predict what the Warriors needed to make it into the playoffs was based on an estimate of the number of points required. Having now predicted the entirety of the final Pro 12 table based on the remaining 7 rounds (plus catch-up fixtures) it’s time to revisit Glasgow’s route to the post-season.
Fixtures during Six Nations period:
Thu 25 Feb – Dragons (A) – win
Sun 6 Mar – Blues (H) – BP win
Fri 18 Mar – Leinster (H) – win
Post Six Nations fixtures:
Fri 25 Mar – Ulster (H) – win
Sat 2 Apr – Treviso (A) – BP win
Fri 8 Apr – Zebre (A) – BP win
Sat 16 Apr – Scarlets (A) – losing BP
Fri 29 Apr – Zebre (H) – BP win
Sat 7 May – Connacht (A) – losing BP
This sequence of results give 34 points to add to the 35 already collected. As can be seen from the projected table this puts the Warriors right in amongst a very congested battle for playoff spots 2, 3 and 4…
As things stand immediately prior to Round 16 kicking off, Glasgow have taken 35 points from 13 games. From the same fixtures last season the championship-winning side took just a single point more – 36 in total.
Looking at the remaining fixtures the Warriors collected 33 points from these same 9 matches in 2012/13, 34 points in 2013/14 and 39 points in 2014/15 so a playoff spot is most certainly not beyond them. .
Every point will be crucial but fundamentally the first thought that should be in the heads of the players and coaches is to go out and win every single game and let the bonus points take care of themselves.